Bernardos vs Sporting Nava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
83.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.4%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernardos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
6 - 2
BER
79%
12%
8%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BER
0 - 7
UNA
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 0
BER
66%
17%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
ESR
33%
23%
45%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATC
4 - 3
BER
39%
22%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Nava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SMM
1 - 3
ASU
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ASU
1 - 0
UNI
57%
18%
24%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 3
ASU
53%
20%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ASU
3 - 0
PIN
68%
16%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ESR
1 - 5
ASU
23%
20%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |