Bernardos vs Gimnastica Ayllonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernardos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ATC
2 - 3
BER
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BER
3 - 2
CAN
23%
20%
57%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAL
4 - 0
BER
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BER
3 - 1
COC
49%
21%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 2
BER
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnastica Ayllonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 1
CAN
34%
21%
45%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COC
2 - 2
GIM
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 2
GIM
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATC
4 - 3
GIM
27%
22%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 1
VAL
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |