Balompie Lugo Union vs Alfoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
61.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balompie Lugo Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAT
4 - 0
BAL
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 1
MUI
19%
19%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 0
BAL
46%
21%
32%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAZ
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FON
3 - 0
BAL
72%
16%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alfoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 1
MUI
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 4
ALF
17%
22%
61%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 2
MIL
49%
23%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
FRI
0 - 1
ALF
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 1
CAT
60%
21%
20%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |