CD Avance vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+119%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Avance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TDA
2 - 1
AVA
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AVA
4 - 1
EMF
43%
24%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ADE
4 - 3
AVA
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 1
DEC
50%
23%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
AVA
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EFC
2 - 1
SHO
25%
22%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOB
3 - 0
EFC
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EFC
0 - 1
SBL
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TAL
6 - 3
EFC
48%
23%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TDA
1 - 2
EFC
32%
23%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |