CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
EIB
4 - 1
AUR
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
AUR
2 - 2
VIL
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
RUN
3 - 0
AUR
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
AUR
1 - 0
ALA
39%
23%
39%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
LOG
4 - 5
AUR
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
TOL
1 - 0
CDT
81%
12%
8%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
REC
4 - 2
TOL
43%
23%
33%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
TOL
0 - 0
ALF
74%
14%
12%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
EIB
3 - 3
TOL
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
TOL
3 - 2
VIL
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |