CD Aurrera Vitoria vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
57.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
AUR
79%
15%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
LON
36%
29%
35%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SFC
2 - 0
AUR
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BFC
2 - 0
AUR
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 0
CDG
41%
26%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GER
1 - 1
CDG
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BEA
1 - 0
GER
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
GER
2 - 0
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ELG
1 - 3
GER
26%
27%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GER
1 - 0
CDU
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |