CD Aurrera Vitoria vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
44.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ZAM
1 - 1
AUR
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
AUR
0 - 2
SES
26%
30%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
AUR
1 - 0
ELG
42%
29%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
AUR
1 - 1
AUR
45%
28%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
AUR
0 - 2
BAS
29%
28%
43%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
GER
2 - 0
AUR
60%
25%
15%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 2
GER
49%
26%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
GER
0 - 1
SNT
67%
22%
11%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
ARE
1 - 2
GER
37%
30%
34%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GER
3 - 1
CDG
69%
21%
10%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |