CD Aurrera Vitoria vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
LEM
0 - 0
AUR
57%
25%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 0
LON
54%
27%
19%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 1
AUR
31%
29%
41%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ZAL
1 - 1
AUR
27%
29%
44%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 0
ARE
57%
26%
17%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
GER
0 - 1
ZAL
64%
24%
12%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ARE
0 - 2
GER
23%
29%
48%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GER
1 - 0
BEA
48%
28%
25%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ZAM
0 - 0
GER
25%
28%
47%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
GER
1 - 0
POR
58%
25%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |