CD Aurrera Vitoria vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
CUL
1 - 1
AUR
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
AUR
0 - 0
AMU
44%
29%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
AUR
1 - 1
BEA
43%
29%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
AUR
0 - 2
ATH
8%
20%
72%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
BUR
0 - 0
AUR
60%
24%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
GER
0 - 0
ALA
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
RUN
2 - 1
GER
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
CHA
2 - 1
GER
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
GER
1 - 1
GIM
31%
30%
39%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2000 |
OSA
1 - 0
GER
36%
28%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |