CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
IRU
0 - 3
AUR
13%
17%
70%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
AUR
2 - 0
LAU
74%
16%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
IZA
0 - 0
AUR
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
AUR
5 - 0
ELP
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ALE
0 - 3
AUR
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ARI
3 - 2
CDS
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
AMU
2 - 1
ARI
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CDF
0 - 1
ARI
15%
18%
67%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 0
CDS
80%
13%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
MKE
1 - 3
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |