CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 3
AUR
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 3
AUR
14%
16%
70%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 1
AMU
74%
16%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
AUR
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AUR
3 - 0
IRU
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
3 - 1
ELP
86%
10%
5%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 0
ARI
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 1
CDL
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MKE
3 - 2
ARI
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 2
ADC
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -1 |