CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
IRU
1 - 4
AUR
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
ADC
0 - 4
AUR
17%
24%
60%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
AUR
3 - 0
ZAR
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ELP
1 - 2
AUR
17%
24%
59%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 1
ALE
71%
18%
10%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ARI
3 - 0
ADC
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ARI
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARI
0 - 3
ELP
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ALE
1 - 4
ARI
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARI
1 - 2
VUL
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |