CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Alegría analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BRU
0 - 3
AUR
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 1
NAN
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CON
0 - 2
AUR
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AUR
2 - 0
TAL
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 1
AUR
27%
28%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 3
CDL
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALE
3 - 2
IZA
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BRU
1 - 3
ALE
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALE
0 - 1
NAN
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
ALE
22%
23%
55%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |