Atletico Rafal vs Xilvar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STA
4 - 1
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
ATL
44%
24%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDA
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 0
ATL
56%
23%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
XIL
1 - 5
SER
22%
21%
58%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDA
5 - 2
XIL
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
XIL
0 - 5
CDS
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
XIL
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
XIL
76%
14%
9%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |