Atletico Rafal vs UD Alaró analysis


17	ELO	17
-6.6%	Tilt	-14.2%
20940º	General ELO ranking	20946º
6736º	Country ELO ranking	6742º
ELO win probability

46.9%

Atletico Rafal

24.2%

Draw

28.9%

UD Alaró

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

46.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%

24.2%

Draw

0-0

5.5%

1-1

11.3%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.2%

28.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+1%

+10%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atletico Rafal

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
29 Oct. 2022	SHO 3 - 0 ATL 52% 23% 26%	18	18	0	0
22 Oct. 2022	ATL 3 - 2 CAR 22% 23% 55%	16	22	6	+2
15 Oct. 2022	ATL 4 - 1 RLV 27% 23% 49%	14	18	4	+2
12 Oct. 2022	SSA 1 - 2 ATL 43% 23% 34%	14	12	2	0
08 Oct. 2022	ATL 2 - 1 CEX 27% 24% 49%	13	17	4	+1

Matches

UD Alaró

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
29 Oct. 2022	UDA 0 - 2 SSA 64% 19% 17%	18	13	5
22 Oct. 2022	CEX 0 - 0 UDA 29% 25% 46%	18	14	4
16 Oct. 2022	UDA 1 - 1 CAM 49% 24% 28%	18	18	0
12 Oct. 2022	ALC 1 - 1 UDA 69% 19% 12%	18	24	6
08 Oct. 2022	UDA 0 - 1 CAL 57% 21% 22%	18	15	3