Atletico Rafal vs UD Alaró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
IMA
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ALL
0 - 2
ATL
35%
27%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
SVE
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAM
4 - 1
ATL
27%
27%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ATL
4 - 1
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Alaró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
UDA
0 - 4
ALL
39%
26%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SVE
2 - 0
UDA
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UDA
2 - 1
CAM
34%
26%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 1
UDA
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UDA
0 - 0
UDR
12%
18%
69%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |