Atletico Rafal vs Penya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PCE
1 - 0
ATL
59%
23%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
SDF
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SLL
2 - 0
ATL
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
MNC
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BNS
1 - 0
ATL
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
PXD
21%
25%
53%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PXD
2 - 1
PCE
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SDF
1 - 1
PXD
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PXD
2 - 1
SLL
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MNC
0 - 2
PXD
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |