Atletico Rafal vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
68.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MNU
4 - 1
ATL
69%
19%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 4
FER
41%
25%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
UDA
3 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
CFP
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CLL
2 - 0
ATL
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MER
3 - 1
PXD
43%
27%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PCE
2 - 1
MER
17%
23%
61%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
SDF
41%
28%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SLL
0 - 1
MER
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MER
3 - 0
MNC
71%
19%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |