A. Peñaflor vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
44%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
PED
21%
20%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
4 - 1
ATL
57%
20%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
REN
2 - 3
ATL
48%
22%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 3
RAY
21%
21%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PIO
2 - 1
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
REN
1 - 4
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
RAY
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PIO
3 - 2
UNI
71%
16%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ISI
1 - 1
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |