Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-0
Atlético Baleares vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ATB
1 - 0
BNS
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
PBL
5 - 2
ATB
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
ATB
1 - 0
UEP
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1979 |
BNS
3 - 2
ATB
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
AND
3 - 0
ATB
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ALA
0 - 0
SDF
36%
29%
35%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
SDF
4 - 1
ADC
45%
27%
28%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
MUR
5 - 0
SDF
52%
26%
23%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
UEP
0 - 1
SDF
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
SDF
0 - 3
CON
55%
25%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |