Atlético Baleares vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UDA
1 - 0
ATB
16%
23%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ATB
1 - 1
PXD
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ATB
3 - 1
CAM
70%
19%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 4
ATB
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ATB
1 - 0
SRF
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
CAM
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 4
MER
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
SRF
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SNF
4 - 0
MER
54%
22%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
BNS
30%
25%
46%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |