Atletico Aluche vs Libertad Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Aluche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
ALA
4 - 3
AAC
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AAC
0 - 2
VIL
32%
23%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GIG
1 - 2
AAC
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AAC
2 - 5
TRI
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 3
AAC
19%
18%
63%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
LIB
3 - 0
YSB
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CDG
1 - 1
LIB
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
LIB
2 - 0
MCF
26%
23%
51%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ALC
1 - 1
LIB
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LIB
2 - 2
VDP
14%
17%
70%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |