Atlético Almagro vs Valenzuela AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 3
AMG
19%
19%
63%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
AMG
0 - 2
PCN
31%
21%
48%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 2
AMG
18%
18%
64%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AMG
1 - 2
VLL
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AMG
2 - 0
EST
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Valenzuela AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
VAL
0 - 2
APU
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
STO
0 - 0
VAL
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VAL
4 - 2
COR
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
INF
2 - 4
VAL
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 3
PCN
38%
21%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |