A. Toresano vs C. Tábara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Toresano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ATH
5 - 0
VIL
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
ATH
51%
22%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ATH
1 - 4
SPO
27%
23%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
ATH
49%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
C. Tábara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COM
3 - 5
MOR
44%
23%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
5 - 0
COM
76%
15%
10%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
CAN
33%
23%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
XUV
7 - 1
COM
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |