Astudillo vs Turégano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astudillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
UPP
2 - 3
AST
33%
24%
44%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AST
0 - 2
SJO
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NUM
8 - 0
AST
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AST
2 - 3
VIL
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
MON
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Turégano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
6 - 0
CAL
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CEB
0 - 2
TUR
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
6 - 0
LAN
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
INT
2 - 1
TUR
32%
23%
46%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
TUR
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |