Aspense vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
25%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ORI
3 - 0
ASP
81%
11%
8%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
ASP
1 - 0
YEC
68%
17%
16%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
ALB
3 - 1
ASP
79%
12%
9%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
ASP
2 - 1
CAT
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
LEV
10 - 3
ASP
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
VIL
3 - 1
ELD
80%
11%
9%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
ELC
3 - 2
VIL
58%
19%
23%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
VIL
5 - 0
ALI
73%
15%
13%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
LOR
5 - 1
VIL
57%
19%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
VIL
2 - 0
SOR
75%
14%
11%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |