Aspense vs Puzol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
JOV
4 - 2
ASP
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ASP
1 - 0
ALZ
60%
23%
18%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
ALI
1 - 0
ASP
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
ASP
2 - 0
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
VIL
2 - 2
ASP
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Puzol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
UDP
4 - 0
UDQ
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
OLI
1 - 1
UDP
59%
24%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
UDP
0 - 1
DEN
62%
22%
17%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
PAT
1 - 0
UDP
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
UDP
3 - 1
ALG
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |