Aspense vs Sporting Mahonés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ALB
2 - 0
ASP
74%
14%
12%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
ASP
5 - 1
NAV
66%
17%
17%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
ALI
5 - 0
ASP
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ASP
8 - 1
VIL
53%
21%
27%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +4 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
CAS
4 - 0
ASP
75%
15%
11%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Mahonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
MHN
3 - 1
NOV
65%
17%
18%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
LEV
1 - 1
MHN
85%
9%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
MHN
4 - 1
ELC
68%
16%
16%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
CAT
5 - 2
MHN
61%
19%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
MHN
5 - 1
HEL
60%
20%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +3 |