Aspense vs San Javier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
IMP
5 - 4
ASP
94%
4%
2%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
ASP
4 - 4
ORI
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ATC
3 - 1
ASP
87%
8%
5%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
CAT
4 - 1
ASP
87%
8%
5%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
San Javier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
JAV
1 - 1
VIL
58%
20%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
NAV
0 - 1
JAV
57%
20%
23%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
JAV
0 - 3
ATZ
56%
20%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1951 |
HEL
0 - 1
JAV
53%
21%
26%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
JAV
1 - 0
CAS
49%
21%
30%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |