Aspense vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
ALB
2 - 1
ASP
57%
24%
19%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ASP
3 - 0
PIN
64%
22%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
CAN
0 - 0
ASP
34%
30%
36%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
ASP
2 - 1
UDC
50%
27%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
MON
2 - 0
ASP
41%
27%
32%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
PEG
1 - 0
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ONT
1 - 0
PEG
73%
19%
8%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
PEG
0 - 1
HOR
52%
25%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
VIJ
1 - 2
PEG
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
OLI
3 - 1
PEG
66%
21%
13%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |