Aspense vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
ASP
2 - 1
DEN
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
ONT
0 - 0
ASP
39%
29%
33%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
ASP
4 - 2
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
RAY
3 - 1
ASP
50%
26%
24%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
ASP
1 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
NOV
0 - 0
ONT
59%
24%
17%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
VIL
1 - 0
NOV
57%
25%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
NOV
1 - 2
RAY
46%
27%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
VIL
2 - 2
NOV
53%
26%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
NOV
0 - 1
ALZ
21%
28%
51%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |