Aspense vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
VIJ
1 - 1
ASP
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
ASP
1 - 0
UDC
75%
17%
9%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
VIL
0 - 0
ASP
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
ASP
5 - 2
BUR
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASP
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
NOV
1 - 0
BEN
52%
27%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
ALZ
5 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
NOV
2 - 1
ALI
57%
25%
17%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
PAT
0 - 0
NOV
39%
28%
32%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
NOV
0 - 1
VAL
39%
30%
32%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |