Aspense vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
ONT
2 - 2
ASP
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
ASP
5 - 0
VIL
55%
25%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
VAL
3 - 0
ASP
65%
22%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
ASP
1 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
GAN
2 - 3
ASP
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
NOV
4 - 0
ALG
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
UDP
0 - 0
NOV
60%
22%
17%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1982 |
NOV
1 - 0
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
DEN
2 - 2
NOV
68%
19%
12%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
ONT
3 - 1
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |