Aspense vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
ELC
8 - 1
ASP
90%
7%
3%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
NOV
3 - 2
ASP
66%
16%
18%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -3 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ASP
1 - 2
GAN
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
VIL
3 - 0
ASP
80%
11%
9%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ASP
0 - 2
ORI
48%
22%
31%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
NOV
3 - 1
CFC
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
NOV
3 - 2
ASP
66%
16%
18%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ELD
6 - 1
NOV
80%
12%
9%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
NOV
0 - 5
ELC
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ALI
8 - 0
NOV
85%
9%
6%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |