Aspense vs Monovar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
RAY
3 - 1
ASP
83%
10%
6%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ASP
2 - 0
LOR
52%
22%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
ALI
3 - 1
ASP
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ASP
1 - 1
IMP
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
YEC
6 - 1
ASP
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monovar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
MON
0 - 3
ELD
26%
22%
53%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ELC
4 - 0
MON
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
MON
1 - 0
ATC
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
JUM
3 - 1
MON
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
MON
2 - 0
ORI
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |