Aspense vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
ALB
3 - 0
ASP
89%
9%
3%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ASP
2 - 2
MON
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
RAY
3 - 1
ASP
83%
10%
6%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ASP
2 - 0
LOR
52%
22%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
ALI
3 - 1
ASP
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
JUM
2 - 1
ELD
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
ELC
5 - 2
JUM
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
JUM
1 - 0
ATC
71%
17%
13%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ALM
1 - 2
JUM
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
ALB
1 - 0
JUM
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |