Aspense vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
ALM
3 - 2
ASP
83%
10%
6%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
ELD
3 - 0
ASP
83%
11%
7%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ASP
2 - 1
ELC
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
ATC
1 - 1
ASP
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
ASP
1 - 1
JUM
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
CIE
0 - 0
ELD
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
ELC
2 - 1
CIE
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
CIE
1 - 3
ATC
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
JUM
2 - 0
CIE
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
CIE
2 - 2
ALB
33%
26%
42%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |