Aspense vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
THA
2 - 1
ASP
78%
12%
9%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
ASP
4 - 2
HEL
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +3 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
AGU
8 - 1
ASP
81%
12%
8%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
ASP
0 - 3
ORI
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
CFC
9 - 0
ASP
91%
6%
3%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
CIE
2 - 0
ALM
68%
16%
16%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
LOR
2 - 0
CIE
65%
17%
18%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
CIE
1 - 1
ALM
65%
17%
18%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
CAL
12 - 0
CIE
68%
16%
16%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
CIE
4 - 1
MIN
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |