Aspense vs CD Lorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ALM
9 - 1
ASP
76%
13%
11%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
ASP
1 - 2
CAL
49%
22%
30%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
MIN
7 - 2
ASP
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
ASP
1 - 2
ELD
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
ELC
6 - 0
ASP
89%
7%
4%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
LOR
6 - 1
ALM
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
YEC
2 - 0
LOR
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
ALM
2 - 1
LOR
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
LOR
3 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
MIN
3 - 1
LOR
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -3 |