Aspense vs CD Lorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
SOR
5 - 0
ASP
67%
16%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ASP
3 - 1
ALZ
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
CFC
9 - 1
ASP
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ASP
2 - 0
ALZ
65%
17%
18%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
SOR
7 - 1
ASP
62%
18%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
LOR
2 - 1
ELD
74%
14%
12%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ELC
1 - 0
LOR
67%
17%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
LOR
2 - 3
ALI
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
LOR
2 - 1
SOR
71%
16%
14%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
MNC
3 - 0
LOR
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |