Aspense vs Benicarló analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
VIL
2 - 2
ASP
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
ONT
4 - 1
ASP
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
ASP
2 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
VIN
2 - 1
ASP
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
ASP
0 - 0
ALC
53%
26%
21%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Benicarló
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
BEN
3 - 1
UDQ
59%
23%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
BEN
2 - 1
OLI
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
DEN
4 - 2
BEN
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
BEN
2 - 2
PAT
49%
26%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
ALG
1 - 3
BEN
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |