Aspense vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
ALI
1 - 0
ASP
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
ASP
2 - 0
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
VIL
2 - 2
ASP
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
ONT
4 - 1
ASP
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
ASP
2 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
ALZ
2 - 0
UDQ
64%
21%
14%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
OLI
0 - 0
ALZ
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
ALZ
2 - 0
DEN
55%
25%
20%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
ALZ
4 - 0
PAT
46%
27%
28%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +3 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
ALG
2 - 0
ALZ
54%
25%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |