As Pontes B vs Cebarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PON
1 - 2
SOM
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
EST
3 - 5
PON
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
PON
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PON
0 - 0
CCR
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CLU
3 - 2
PON
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cebarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CEB
3 - 3
MAT
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SOM
0 - 2
CEB
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 1
CEB
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CEB
3 - 3
EST
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CEB
4 - 3
ORT
50%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |