Arroyoculebro vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
50.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyoculebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TRZ
1 - 3
ARR
35%
21%
44%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ARR
6 - 3
MBA
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
7 - 0
ARR
77%
13%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARR
3 - 2
PVE
35%
21%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NDR
3 - 2
ARR
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
UCA
1 - 2
CDS
38%
21%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
UCA
2 - 2
ADL
75%
15%
11%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MSS
0 - 12
UCA
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
UCA
7 - 1
MLA
79%
12%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CFN
3 - 0
UCA
69%
17%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |