Arrecife vs UD Valterra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arrecife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
HCF
0 - 3
ACF
83%
12%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
ACF
0 - 4
LAN
11%
17%
73%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ACF
1 - 1
LTI
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
USY
2 - 1
ACF
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ACF
1 - 7
TIT
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UD Valterra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
7 - 1
LTI
74%
15%
12%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
TEG
3 - 4
VAL
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
LAN
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 1
VAL
56%
21%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
LTI
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |