V. Espinareda vs Atlético Pinilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V. Espinareda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
ARE
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARE
0 - 1
BOS
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DEH
0 - 1
ARE
40%
23%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ARE
3 - 1
FAB
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ARE
1 - 0
MAT
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Pinilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
ATL
12%
18%
71%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LAC
6 - 0
ATL
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 1
ATL
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
TOR
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
ATL
26%
22%
52%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |