V. Espinareda vs Matarrosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V. Espinareda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ARE
3 - 2
FUT
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARE
1 - 0
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DEH
3 - 1
ARE
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
ARE
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARE
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Matarrosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 3
ATL
19%
21%
60%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
4 - 1
MAT
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 2
MAT
67%
18%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DEH
1 - 1
MAT
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
NAR
14%
18%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |