Arces vs U.D.C. Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
49.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AGU
5 - 0
ARC
86%
9%
5%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 0
RUE
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PED
1 - 0
ARC
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 3
MED
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 1
ARC
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
U.D.C. Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 2
BEL
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 3
UDS
33%
22%
46%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UDS
3 - 2
RIO
70%
17%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MIG
2 - 4
UDS
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 1
BOE
23%
21%
56%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |