Arces vs Villa de Simancas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
47.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+171%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
ARC
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 4
MIG
48%
22%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
UVA
4 - 0
ARC
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ARC
4 - 3
AGU
14%
17%
69%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
ARC
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Villa de Simancas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
BEL
51%
21%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 1
VIL
52%
21%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 2
PAR
67%
18%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 1
RUE
54%
21%
26%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CIS
4 - 0
VIL
49%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |