Arces vs Unión Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 0
ARC
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
4 - 3
TUD
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CIS
5 - 4
ARC
30%
21%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 0
SAN
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
JRO
0 - 1
ARC
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 0
VIA
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 2
PIO
14%
20%
66%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NIC
2 - 1
UNI
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
APO
57%
20%
24%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |